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Gary TODAY the dollar broke out AGAIN confirming it’s continued trend UP coinciding with precious metals slipping past my threshold point of GOLD $1195 which ejected me like that of OIL (slipped overnight helping my cause on now short etf’s) to REVERSE positions in gold and silver etf shorts.
Seems rationale enough to see the trends remain:
US Indices UP
US dollar UP
GOLD down
Silver down
Oil down
THE trend is your friend as they say and for me it’s hard trying to be a hero and a rebel lately……. live and learn.
Cheers — M.D.Cov
The Dollar will really gain momentum once it breaks above the 200 week MA. It has a long long way to go yet. This is great news for consumers as deflation will take hold.
Correction, 200 month MA
Is that right? You don’t say? I’m sure you have an explanation, then, for why every “momentum” indicator commonly used by technicians is showing some of the scariest, most powerful negative divergences in recent memory as the US$ has staged this risible “rally”. The “momentum” is gone, and as soon as the US$, as played by Wile E. Coyote, notices there’s nothing but air beneath it…. well, the canyon floor beckons.
Enjoy the ride.
Today’s number is sooooooooo bogus and soooooooooo cooked that, in retrospect, it will be seen as the moment the credibility of any number coming out of Washington was totally, irretrievably lost. In other words, they’ve hoisted themselves on their own petard with their own hubris and propensity for prevarication.
When this sm bubble goes BOOM it’s going to be the ” Crime of the Century ” NS
You mean turn around and go to 1.36 USD/EUR or push further and break those 200MA ?
I cover it in this weekend report but I don’t think the euro is going to go too much below that 200 month moving average during this intermediate cycle.
Can you comment on the gold:yen correlation? The Yen is also trading at multi year lows.
I actually think it’s more a dollar gold correlation. As the yen drops the dollar rises and that has pressured commodities and gold.
Gary,
So can we back up the truck type of thing on Monday, or just wait for your confirmation.