Do Miners Need to Lead the Metals?
It’s a common misconception that miners always lead the metals sector. As you can see in this chart the miners often produce false signals.
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The next leg up in a new daily cycle for the precious metals has begun. Silver is breaking away above its 200 dma with little resistance now until it reaches $19. Gold is approaching its 200 dma and once it breaks through that resistance is expected to top somewhere above $1300+.
$XAU – Retesting the 200 Day Moving Average
Mining stocks have broken their daily cycle trend line and are likely to retest their 200 day moving average over the next week or so. This would potentially allow the daily RSI(5) to push down to an oversold reading near/below 30, give the rising 50 day moving average more time to catch up to price, and trigger the stops of traders who bought the breakout above the 200 day moving average within the past month. This is a normal corrective move that is unlikely to last much more than a week.